{"id":24079,"date":"2022-10-28T14:54:51","date_gmt":"2022-10-28T12:54:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reclaimfinance.org\/site\/?p=24079"},"modified":"2023-02-08T11:31:13","modified_gmt":"2023-02-08T10:31:13","slug":"monetary-tightening-could-impair-the-eu-crisis-response","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reclaimfinance.org\/site\/en\/2022\/10\/28\/monetary-tightening-could-impair-the-eu-crisis-response\/","title":{"rendered":"Monetary tightening could impair the EU crisis response"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:1216.8px;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\" style=\"--awb-content-alignment:justify;--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color4);\"><p><strong>On October 27th 2022, the European Central Bank (ECB) adopted its third rate rise in a row, pushing key interest rates to record Eurozone heights. It also began adjustments to shrink a balance sheet that significantly grew the beginning of the Covid pandemic. Unfortunately, sustained monetary tightening could impair the clean energy transition that is necessary to break with current inflation trends. Instead, the ECB should protect crucial investments in renewable energy and efficiency by setting up a green lending facility that shields them from higher rates and tougher financing conditions. It could start by focusing on building renovation.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-2\" style=\"--awb-content-alignment:justify;\"><p>At its October 27th meeting, the ECB unsurprisingly decided to raise key rates by 75 basis points to rein in an EU inflation that reached 9.9% in September. This increase intervenes in a context of global monetary policy tightening and \u2013 as the ECB notes in its press release \u2013 will not be the last.<\/p>\n<p>Beyond higher key rates (1), the ECB decided to adjust the interest rates applicable to the long term refinancing operations granted to respond to Covid (\u201cTLTRO III\u201d). Indeed, while these operations enabled banks to benefit from negative interest rates during the pandemic, their rates will be aligned with key interest rates after November 22nd 2022. This measure has two objectives. First, to reduce the ECB\u2019s balance sheet by incentivizing early repayments. Then, to lower the estimated 28bn euros (2) of profits made by banks thanks to low TLTRO rates.<\/p>\n<p>However, these decisions are blind to the fact that the inflation crisis is an energy crisis. ECB\u2019s tightening affects inflation by depressing demand, a move that has sizeable socio-economic consequences but only an indirect impact on energy-driven inflation. As the IEA underlined in its World Energy Outlook 2022 (3) published the morning of the ECB\u2019s meeting, the solution to the crisis is the clean energy transition.<\/p>\n<p>Failing to account for this fact, the ECB is actually making the role-out of renewable energy and energy efficiency more difficult by increasing the cost of capital and toughtening financing conditions (4). This is especially worrying as businesses and households already have increasing difficulties to borrow (5).<\/p>\n<p>This dangerous effect can be avoided if the central bank sets up a green lending facility that provides lower rates to finance the clean energy transition (6). Such a facility could even work with the ECB\u2019s new TLTRO adjustements: preferential rates can be maintained in exchange of loans oriented toward this objective. 6 NGOs (7) underlined in a letter sent to the ECB governing council ahead of the meeting that this would especially be helpful for building renovation. Indeed, massive renovation is at the heart of EU transition plans and delivers significant socio-economic benefits (8).<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-3\" style=\"--awb-content-alignment:justify;--awb-text-color:var(--awb-color4);\"><p><strong>To conclude, if it fails to include transition-specific criteria, the ECB\u2019s monetary tightening will throw a spanner in the works of the EU crisis response. NGOs have already charted a path to avoid this by calling on the central bank to launch a green lending facility to finance building renovation. Now is the time to act.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-separator fusion-full-width-sep\" style=\"align-self: center;margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;margin-top:20px;margin-bottom:20px;width:100%;max-width:100%;\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 fusion-flex-container nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-flex-start fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"max-width:1216.8px;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-2 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-padding-top:10px;--awb-padding-right:10px;--awb-padding-bottom:0px;--awb-padding-left:10px;--awb-overflow:hidden;--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-border-color:#fffffff;--awb-border-top:1px;--awb-border-right:1px;--awb-border-bottom:1px;--awb-border-left:1px;--awb-border-style:solid;--awb-border-radius:10px 10px 10px 10px;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:20px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-order-medium:0;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-order-small:0;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-4\" style=\"--awb-content-alignment:justify;\"><p><b><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"><u>Notes<\/u><\/span><span style=\"color: #ffffff;\"> :<\/span><\/b><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">The ECB also decided to set the remuneration of minimum reserves at the ECB\u2019s deposit facility rate.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">According to an estimate by Morgan Stanley. No number have been made public by the ECB and the central bank <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.asktheeu.org\/en\/request\/disclosure_of_data_on_tltros#incoming-31651\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">refuses to disclose the information<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> that would enable us to make our own precise estimate.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">The IEA published its <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/world-energy-outlook-2022?utm_content=buffer73a47&amp;utm_medium=social&amp;utm_source=linkedin.com&amp;utm_campaign=buffer\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">World Energy Outlook 2022<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> this morning. In this landmark report, the agency underlines that the clean energy transition is the solution to the crisis and would protect households and improve leaving conditions. It also stresses that we need to triple clean energy spending to 2030 to stay on track to limit global warming to 1.5\u00b0C, with a significant share of these investments going to energy efficiency.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">The impact of tightening is notably discussed in <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/u6p9s9c8.rocketcdn.me\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Report-Supercharging-a-EU-clean-energy-transition-ECB.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Reclaim Finance\u2019s report part 2.2<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">The ECB published a <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecb.europa.eu\/press\/pr\/date\/2022\/html\/ecb.pr221025~0bbf72b385.en.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">bank lending survey<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> on October 25th that showed that it was getting more difficult for businesses and households to access credit. At the same time, several leaders are <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.ft.com\/content\/6f70bbcd-72b7-4518-be6b-401adba7cc34\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">increasingly making public<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> their doubt about a tightening strategy that could make public debt more costly and drive the EU into recession.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">This idea is notably explained p.52 of <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/u6p9s9c8.rocketcdn.me\/site\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Report-Supercharging-a-EU-clean-energy-transition-ECB.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Reclaim Finance\u2019s report<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">The NGOs that signed this letter are Reclaim Finance, Positive Money Europe, SumOfUs, Revo Prosperidad Sostenible, Greenintervention and the New Economics Foundation.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-contrast=\"none\">Based on French data, the <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/unlock.green\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Unlock campaign<\/a><\/span><span data-contrast=\"none\"> notably estimated renovating a poorly performing home enables to save 1 100 euros saved per household per year on lower heating bills.<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;201341983&quot;:0,&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559685&quot;:0,&quot;335559739&quot;:160,&quot;335559740&quot;:259}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":24080,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[222],"tags":[],"acteurs_financiers":[2444],"thematique":[],"webinar_type":[],"programme":[],"class_list":["post-24079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog_en","acteurs_financiers-regulators"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Monetary tightening could impair the EU crisis response - Reclaim Finance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The European 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