Assessment of oil and gas companies’ climate strategy2024-04-24T07:47:33+02:00

Assessment of oil and gas

companies’ climate strategy

12 of the largest publicly listed integrated oil and gas companies in Europe and the United States, along with national oil and gas companies (NOC), accounted for a huge 28.7% of global production in 2022, 39.1% of near-term exploration and production expansion plans, and 16.5% of liquefaction terminal expansion plans.

While a growing number of institutions are disengaging from the oil and gas sector, deeming it incapable of transformation, others believe that oil and gas companies are essential to the energy transition, and that their support is indispensable to the massive development of renewable energies. But what is the actual situation? To what extent do these companies contribute to the development of sustainable solutions? Given that we can’t limit global warming to 1.5°C without gradually reducing hydrocarbon production, have these companies given up on developing new oil and gas projects?

These are the kind of questions we bring to the table to help financial institutions assess the credibility of oil and gas companies’ climate action and adapt their financing, investment and stewardship strategies accordingly.

Reclaim Finance analyzed the climate strategies of the top European and US listed oil and gas companies, as well as the largest national oil companies. We selected several key indicators to assess whether the efforts undertaken by the companies are sufficient to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and limit global warming to 1.5°C.

We cover three key questions:

  • What are the company’s investment choices?
  • What are its production and greenhouse gas emissions targets?
  • What diversification actions is the company really undertaking?

Read about the main conclusions of our analysis and download a detailed briefing specific to each of the 12 oil and gas companies below. For your convenience, a glossary is available here.

methodology

Given the importance of cutting greenhouse gas emissions within the current decade, our analysis focuses on corporate targets for 2030.

The International Energy Agency’s (IEA) Net Zero Emissions by 2050 Scenario (NZE), which is based on a 1.5°C trajectory, was chosen as the main reference scenario. This scenario models:

  • A drop in oil and gas production of 21% and 18% respectively by 2030, compared with 2022 levels.
  • A halt to the development of new oil and gas fields and liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminals.
  • A 67% increase in total annual investment in energy, with a 2.3-fold increase in annual investment in energy transition, covering clean energy supply, end-use and energy efficiency. This would mean investing ten dollars in the transition by 2030, six in energy supply – primarily power – for every dollar invested in fossil fuels, i.e. a 6:1 ratio.

Our analysis puts the 12 oil and gas companies’ projections into perspective against the NZE, as well as the IEA’s Announced Pledges Scenario (APS), which follows a 2°C trajectory.

key findings

None of the climate strategies are aligned with a 1.5°C scenario.

Analysis of the climate strategies of these 12 oil and gas companies in relation to the NZE scenario shows that their investments, production plans and diversification strategies do not enable them to follow a 1.5°C trajectory.

No halt to oil and gas expansion.

None of the companies have committed to stop oil and gas expansion, contrary to IEA projections and UN recommendations.

High distributions to shareholders.

All listed companies favored distributions to shareholders in 2023 over investments in sustainable energy.

Insufficient investment in sustainable energy.

Investments in 2022 in renewable energy remain well below those in fossil fuels. U.S. companies are not reporting any investment in sustainable energy.

An energy mix in 2030 based on fossil fuels.

All of them forecast an energy mix in 2030 that would still include between 78% and more than 99% fossil fuels.

Exceeding the 1.5°C carbon budget in 2030.

All of them will emit more greenhouse gases in 2030 than allowed in a 1.5°C scenario.

Misleading diversification.

All companies communicate on diversification, while promoting false solutions (gas plants, biofuels, biogas, etc.).

Climate strategies analysis

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