2025 banks’ energy financing ratios: the good, the bad and how to move forward

BNP Paribas was the only global bank willing to publish an Energy Supply Financing Ratio (ESFR) in 2024. By the end of 2025, four more banks had followed suit. The ESFR measures how much a bank finances sustainable power supply, such as renewable electricity from wind and solar (1), relative to fossil fuels. This provides insight into the bank’s climate action. Today, five banks either publish this indicator, its methodology, or have committed to achieving one in the medium term. Despite their different approaches, some common features are emerging, as are loopholes that could affect their credibility. A regional divide is also emerging, with European and North American banks adopting notably different approaches. This analysis examines these differences and highlights where the methodologies succeed, fall short, or distort the reality.

To avoid the worst effects of climate change, two major shifts in global annual energy investment are required: a rapid decrease in fossil fuel investment and a rapid increase in the supply of sustainable energy, primarily in the form of power. If the world is to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050 and limit global warming to 1.5°C, as described in the International Energy Agency’s Net Zero Emissions (NZE) scenario, banks should allocate six dollars to sustainable energy for every dollar they allocate to fossil fuels by 2030 (a 6:1 ESFR) (2). Yet our research shows that, between 2021 and 2024, the 65 largest banks worldwide allocated only 42 cents to sustainable power supply for every dollar directed to fossil fuels (an ESFR of 0.42:1). Banks therefore have a long way to go.

How the Energy Supply Financing Ratio became a benchmark

The ESFR has gained momentum in recent years. Institutions such as Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF), the European Banking Authority (EBA), the Science Based Targets Initiative (SBTi), the World Resources Institute (WRI) and the Institut Louis Bachelier (ILB), have increasingly studied the metric as an indicator of banks’ climate action (3). Shareholder pressure has significantly accelerated this trend. In 2024 and 2025, the New York City Comptroller (NYCC), which oversees the city’s public pension funds, and SHARE filed resolutions urging major North American banks to publish a “clean energy supply ratio”, without prescribing a methodology. These negotiations led banks including JPMorgan Chase, Citi, Scotiabank and RBC to disclose or commit to disclose their ratios. As the NYCC has noted, the metric is poised to become a standard disclosure and a key tool for investors to judge whether banks are shifting capital at a pace consistent with global climate goals (4).

Diverging approaches on each side of the Atlantic

French banks BNP Paribas and Crédit Agricole, are the only major global banks to publish their current ratio and commit to 9:1 targets by 2030 and 2028, respectively (5). But their approach relies on narrow definitions of fossil fuel activity, incomplete coverage of financing instruments and opaque methodologies (see Table 1).

Both banks restrict the fossil fuel component of the ratio to certain segments of the oil and gas value chain, meaning that some fossil fuel activities are excluded from the calculation. Crédit Agricole covers only extraction, while BNP Paribas includes extraction, production, and refining. Major sectors such as liquefied natural gas (LNG) and gas-fired power generation are excluded altogether. In addition, both banks calculate their ratio solely on credit exposure, omitting financing provided through bond and equity underwriting. Between 2021 and 2024, these activities represented 36% of BNP Paribas’s and 27% of Crédit Agricole’s fossil fuel financing (6), meaning their ratios significantly understate their true support for fossil fuels. Furthermore, neither bank publishes its detailed ratio methodology, making their calculations opaque, particularly with regard to which technologies qualify as “green” in the case of Crédit Agricole.

Across the Atlantic, the picture looks different. US banks Citi and JPMorgan Chase do not set medium-term ratio targets, but they do disclose their current ratios along with detailed methodologies (7). Canada’s RBC publishes its methodology but not its current ratio (8). The strengths of these methodologies include covering larger portions of the fossil fuel value chain (although Citi does not explicitly state whether this includes LNG) and incorporating both lending and bond underwriting, which provides a more comprehensive overview of fossil fuel financing (see Table 1).

However, the integrity of these ratios is weakened by the inclusion of fossil-related technologies on the “low-carbon” side, or the inclusion of sectors unrelated to energy supply. Citi and JPMorgan Chase both allow fossil-based hydrogen and certain carbon capture and storage projects on the “low-carbon” side (9). JPMorgan Chase even includes fossil-fired power with carbon capture. RBC’s inclusion of “decarbonisation finance” is also problematic because it encompasses activities such as cement manufacturing and other industrial processes that are not related to energy supply. JPMorgan Chase also includes public electric vehicle (EV) chargers on the “low-carbon” side, while fossil fuel counterparts, such as filling stations, are not covered on “high-carbon” (10). These methodological choices inflate the sustainable portion of the ratio and risk overstating progress toward the energy transition.

While some progress was made in 2025 regarding the adoption of ESFR by banks, much more is needed. A rapid, global and fair transition to sustainable energy sources is vital, and banks should support this urgent shift instead of perpetuating fossil-based energy sources. To do so, banks must disclose their current ESFR and set a dedicated target for 2030. This requires reducing financing for fossil fuels and ending all support for their expansion, while accelerating financing for sustainable power supply. The ESFR methodology should be robust and transparent, covering all fossil fuel financing products and services across the entire value chain, and being based on sustainable technologies.

Table 1. Summary of banks’ ESFR strengths and weaknesses

Bank Strengths Weaknesses
BNP Paribas
  • Target set for 2030
  • Publishes current ratio
  • Covers only loans and not bond or share issuances
  • Restricted to extraction, production and refining for the oil & gas value chain, thus leaving sectors such as LNG and gas power outside the scope
  • No public methodology document
  • Based on credit exposure rather than financial flows, meaning it does not effectively reflect new financing commitments
Crédit Agricole
  • Target set for 2028
  • Publishes current ratio
  • Covers only loans and not bond or share issuances
  • Covers only fossil fuels extraction, thus leaving sectors such as LNG and gas power outside the scope
  • No public methodology document
  • Based on credit exposure rather than financial flows, meaning it does not effectively reflect new financing commitments
Citi
  • Publishes current ratio and detailed methodology
  • Covers not only loans but also bond issuances
  • Measures financial flows rather than credit exposure, making it a more accurate reflection of new financing commitments
  • No medium-term ratio target
  • “Low carbon” includes technologies related to fossil fuels (CCUS)
  • LNG is not explicitly included in the fossil fuel scope
  • Binary allocation (100%) to low-carbon or fossil fuels of financing, based on company sector classification (exception for utilities)
  • An alternative ratio without revolving credits (RCF) is also published, which risks downplaying the importance of RCFs in financing the fossil fuel industry
JPMorgan Chase
  • Publishes current ratio and detailed methodology
  • Covers not only loans but also bond issuances
  • Covers the entire oil & gas value chain
  • Measures financial flows rather than credit exposure, making it a more accurate reflection of new financing commitments
  • No medium-term ratio target
  • “Low-carbon” includes technologies related to fossil fuels (fossil power plants with CCUS, fossil-based hydrogen)
  • Covers energy demand sectors such as EV charging on the “low-carbon” side, while fossil counterparts (such as filling stations) are not covered on the “high-carbon” side
Royal Bank of Canada
  • Publishes detailed methodology
  • Covers not only loans but also bond issuances
  • Covers the entire oil &gas value chain
  • Current ratio is not disclosed
  • No medium-term ratio target
  • Numerator includes companies that have “a sufficiently robust transition plan” in the “decarbonization finance” section, which leaves the door open to false solutions and activities that are unrelated to energy supply
  • In the case of lending, it is based on exposure rather than financial flow

Notes:

  1. Power generation from renewables (mainly solar and wind), grids, and battery storage. Nuclear and bioenergy, although considered “clean”, are excluded from our definition of “sustainable”.
  2. According to the IEA’s NZE scenario, around US$2.5 trillion will be invested in clean electricity and low-emission fuels and around US$1.8 trillion in energy efficiency and end-use transformation by 2030, while investment in fossil fuel supply falls to around US$0.4 trillion. This translates into an overall ratio of 10:1 for the energy transition (i.e. energy supply, energy efficiency and end-use transformation), including a specific ratio of 6:1 for “clean” power supply. See IEA, Net-Zero Roadmap, p.162, September 2023.
  3. See BNEF, Energy Supply Banking Ratios report, September 2025; EBA, ESG risk guidelines, January 2025; SBTi, Financial Institutions Net-ZeroStandard, July 2025; WRI, Financial Institutions Net Zero Tracker, August 2024; and ILB, Zoom on the Energy Supply Ratio, April 2025.
  4. The NYCC stated that it expects this ratio to become “a standard disclosure for banks and an increasingly important tool for investors to evaluate a banks’ climate risk and climate commitments, including the pace and scale of their financing of the energy transition”. See NYCC, Public Statement, April 2024.
  5. See BNP Paribas, Universal Registration Document and Annual Financial Report 2024, 2025 and Crédit Agricole, ACT 2028, 2025.
  6. See BNP Paribas, Climate Report 2023, May 2024 and Crédit Agricole, RÉSULTATS DU 4EME TRIMESTRE ET DE L’ANNÉE 2024, 2025.
  7. See Citi, Energy Supply Financing Ratio White Paper, August 2025 and JPMorganChase, Energy Supply Financing Ratio Methodology, 2024. 
  8. See Royal Bank of Canada, Sustainability Report 2024
  9. See our factsheet on carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) in the power sector.
  10. In addition, these relate to energy consumption rather than production. Therefore, they should not be included in an ESFR.

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2026-01-20T09:54:53+01:00