US LNG and european autonomy: the dilemma facing european banks

With Donald Trump using energy as a lever for geopolitical domination, Europe’s dependence (1) on US liquefied natural gas (LNG) is jeopardizing its strategic autonomy. This is happening with the support of European banks, which are backing the expansion of LNG in the United States. At a time of major geopolitical upheaval, banks must choose: support European strategic autonomy or contribute to its energy vassalization.

The United States now dominates the global LNG market (2), with more export terminal projects planned than any other country (3). Its main customer is the European Union (EU), which imported 57% of its LNG from the United States in 2025—a share that could reach 80% by 2030 (4). The gradual reduction of European dependence on Russian gas has thus come at the cost of the emergence of a new dependence, this time on US LNG. In addition to the climate consequences of such a choice (5), there is now a major geopolitical risk: that of Europe’s subordination to US interests (6). This risk has been acknowledged by European Commissioner for Energy Dan Jørgensen, who himself warned that the US president’s threats were a “wake-up call” for European energy security (7).

European autonomy: when banks finance dependence on US LNG

While Europe is making strategic autonomy and industrial competitiveness political priorities (8), some of its major banks are playing a key role in the expansion of LNG in the United States. A substantial portion of the financing provided by major European banks (9) to the LNG boom is allocated to US companies that are exclusively developing LNG export terminal projects on US soil. Leading the way are Venture Global, Cheniere Energy, and NextDecade, which are involved in ten new terminal projects in the United States, while Freeport LNG, a Special purpose vehicle (SPV), is dedicated to developing the export terminal of the same name in Texas (10).

Ranking LNG developer Amounts allocated in million US$
1 Venture Global LNG Inc 11,320
2 Cheniere Energy Inc 8,096
3 Freeport LNG Investments LLLP 4,434
4 NextDecade Corporation 4,273

Funding allocated by the main European banks to LNG expansion activities by leading developers between 2021 and 2024 (in millions of dollars) (11)

ING is one of the European banks most involved in LNG development across the Atlantic. Although the bank has committed to no longer providing project financing for new LNG export terminals from 2026 onwards (12), it can still provide financing to the companies developing them. And these are far from insignificant. On the contrary, the bank is the world’s leading financier of Venture Global (13), ), the world’s largest LNG developer, to which it has granted US$3.2 billion to support its LNG expansion activities between 2021 and 2024. Donald Trump’s arrival in power did not lead to a decline in its financing. In June 2025, the Dutch bank contributed US$579 million to a US$15.1 billion loan to Venture Global.

Crédit Agricole is also one of the largest financiers of US LNG. The French bank stands out in particular as the main global financial backer of Freeport LNG Investments, with US$1 billion granted in 2021 for its LNG expansion activities (14).

The support of European banks remains unwavering under the Trump administration. In January 2026, Crédit Agricole, ING, Santander—another major player in US LNG—, the Banque Populaire Caisse d’Epargne Group (BPCE) via its corporate investment bank Natixis, and Société Générale, alongside other banks, granted a US$1.1 billion refinancing loan to Freeport LNG Investments.

The dangers of European dependence on US LNG

The pursuit of profits by some European banks, to the detriment of their commitments to European autonomy and sovereignty (15), threatens to derail Europe’s climate goals and expose European citizens to a lasting increase in their energy bills — while locking Europe into a politically risky energy dependence.

Energy is at the heart of Donald Trump’s strategy for US domination (16). The trade agreement concluded between the EU and Washington on July 27, 2025, is a striking illustration of this: negotiated under the threat of drastic increases in customs duties on European exports (17), it provides, in particular, for the EU to purchase US$750 billion worth of US energy by 2028 (18). In this context, European energy dependence constitutes a strategic vulnerability (19) that the United States can exploit to further its foreign policy objectives (20), to the detriment of the EU’s strategic autonomy (21).

Since 2022, the gradual replacement of Russian pipeline gas with imported LNG — particularly from the United States — has not reduced the vulnerability of European energy systems. It has prolonged it. Imported gas structurally exposes Europe to high prices and high volatility (22), linked to global markets, geopolitical tensions, and climate hazards (23). European consumers and industries bear the brunt of these price increases (24).

In terms of climate change, the implementation of the trade agreement signed with the United States, although unrealistic, would jeopardize the EU’s gas consumption reduction targets and slow down the transition to sustainable energy (25). In the longer term, beyond the risk of prolonged dependence on gas and lock-in to fossil fuels, the overcapacity of the LNG market, identified by consulting firms (26) and the industry itself (27), could turn certain European infrastructure into stranded assets (28). The costs of underused or decommissioned terminals could then weigh on local authorities and public budgets.

In this context, European banks need to change their strategy. Reclaim Finance urges them to strengthen their policies and end all financial services to LNG developers, particularly US developers, and their projects, so that profits do not take precedence over the interests of European countries and their populations.

Notes:

  1. The term “Europe” in this article refers to the European Union and the United Kingdom. 
  2. Reuters, When the US freezes, the global LNG market catches a cold, 26/01/2026 
  3. IEA, Global LNG Capacity Tracker, updated 22/10/2025 and ExitLNG.org 
  4. IEEFA, EU risks new energy dependence as US could supply 80% of its LNG imports by 2030, 19/01/2026 
  5. Reclaim Finance, END THE LNG DEVASTATING BOOM – Financial institutions must stop fueling LNG expansion, accessed 28/01 
  6. Politico, Fears grow over Europe’s soaring dependence on US gas imports, 18/01/2026 
  7. Politico, EU will seek to cut US energy reliance after Trump’s Greenland threats, 28/01/2026 
  8. European Parliament, Strategic autonomy and European competitiveness: Security now comes first, 12/2025 and UK Department for Business and trade, Policy paper Industrial Strategy, 23/06/2025 
  9. These are the following banks: Santander, ING, Crédit Agricole, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, Intesa Sanpaolo, Groupe BPCE, Société Générale, Standard Chartered, BBVA, UBS, BNP Paribas, Barclays, La Caixa Group, UniCredit, DZ Bank, NatWest, Commerzbank, Lloyds Banking Group, Rabobank, Crédit Mutuel, Nordea, La Banque Postale and Danske Bank. See the dedicated page on the ExitLNG.org website for details of European bank financing for the expansion plans of the main LNG developers between 2021 and 2024. 
  10. Urgewald, Global Oil & Gas Exit List (GOGEL), 2025 
  11. See the ExitLNG.org website for more details on the financing allocated by the 65 largest banks to the expansion activities of the main LNG developers and the calculation methodology used. 
  12. More information on the LNG policies adopted by the main banks can be found on the ExitLNG.org website. 
  13. See the company profile on ExitLNG.org  
  14. The Freeport LNG terminal, which has been singled out by the State of Texas for violations of air pollutant emission standards, consists of three operational trains (15 Mtpa) and a fourth under development. 
  15. See, for example, the partnerships signed by ING and Santander with the European Investment Bank to strengthen the viability of SMEs in the European Union by supporting sustainable projects (ING) and to support Spanish SMEs and mid-cap companies in line with the EU’s competitiveness objectives (Santander). 
  16. The Guardian, Trump has growing stranglehold over EU and UK energy supply, study shows, 21/01/2026 
  17. IRIS, Quelles réponses de l’Union européenne face aux agressions commerciales de Donald Trump ?, 22/01/2026 
  18. IEEFA, Déjà vu as EU risks overreliance on one gas supplier, 30/07/2025 
  19. Reuters, Europe’s energy weak spot reemerges in Greenland dispute, 21/06/2026 et IEEFA, EU risks new energy dependence as US could supply 80% of its LNG imports by 2030, 19/01/2026 
  20. Politico, Fears grow over Europe’s soaring dependence on US gas imports, 18/01/2026 
  21. EnergyFlux, Europe’s grotesque LNG dilemma, 09/01/2026 
  22. See:  
    1. OCDE, OECD Economic Surveys: European Union and Euro Area 2025, July 2025 
    2. Zero Carbon Analytics, European competitiveness threatened by continued imports of volatile LNG, January 2025 
    3. IEEFA, IEEFA welcomes EU Clean Industrial Deal but warns of LNG lock-in risk and overreliance on CCS, 26/02/2025 
  23. IEEFA, Gas price volatility raises questions on its suitability as a bridging fuel, 23/10/2024 
  24. European Commission, Dashboard for energy prices in the EU and main trading partners 2024, accessed 29/01/2026 and CREA, EU fossil fuel imports and CO2 emissions in 2025: Dependence continues as U.S. becomes largest supplier, January 2026 
  25. IEEFA, Déjà vu as EU risks overreliance on one gas supplier, 30/07/2025 
  26. Gas Outlook, Gulfstream LNG CEO calls out industry’s “irrational exuberance”, 26/09/2025 
  27. FT, US rush to expand LNG exports heightens fears of global gas glut, 03/10/2025 
  28. IEEFA, Over half of Europe’s LNG infrastructure assets could be left unused by 2030, 21/03/2023 

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2026-02-09T09:03:04+01:00